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Forecasting Demand For Homecare Services In Lifetime Neighbourhoods
Ageing of the European cities influence demand for care services that are provided in the community. Demand for homecare services (HC) is forecasted by health care utilisation models. which define variables and relationships between them. To forecast demand for HC, this paper uses assumptions prepared by EUROSTAT in the European population projections EUROPOP2019 and the experiences of the HC nursing services from City of Varaždin. The results show that the projections of the number of HC users in City of Varaždin will more than double in the next 40 years. The paper presents how growth in HC users will influence required capacities of HC system at the city and neighbourhood level.